Facebook. The wether that wears a bell and leads a flock of sheep. OpEdNews - Diary: Bush and Joe, the turncoat, LIeberman. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (Redirected from Bellwether state) Jump to: navigation, search. Plural form of bellwether. bellwether in AZ Dictionary (n) the one that serves as a leader or as a leading signal of future trends: "their education that the report is censored is a political bellwether” ( Justine De Lacy). Let that sink in, now. Meaning, pronunciation, picture, example sentences, grammar, usage notes, synonyms and more. Email or Phone: Password: Forgot account? The Bellwether College Consortium is comprised of award-winning colleges charged with addressing critical issues facing community colleges through applicable research and the promotion and replication of best practices addressing workforce development, instructional programs and services, and planning governance and finance. A few counties in America are known as the “bellwether counties”: Those locations that always end up voting for the candidate who ultimately wins in the presidential election. San Benito County, officially the County of San Benito, ... San Benito is also considered a bellwether county for California in presidential elections; since 1904 the solitary candidate to carry the state without winning this county has been Harry S. Truman in 1948. But in presidential politics, there are actually few true bellwethers left.”. That county has not only lost its bellwether … Definition. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. What is the definition of the term "bellwether state"? bellwether definition: 1. someone or something that shows how a situation will develop or change: 2. someone or something…. Wikipedia. The ones in the middle all crumbled, leaving many here wondering whether this was merely a Trump-fueled fluke or whether the country has cleaved itself so firmly into two opposing camps that these old political standard-bearers are obsolete. bellwether translation in English - Spanish Reverso dictionary, see also 'belle',bell tower',belligerent',bell', examples, definition, conjugation noun: someone or something that leads others or shows what will happen in the future; noun: one that takes the lead or initiative; synonyms: leader Examples. en.wiktionary.2016 [noun] plural of [i]bellwether[/i] Example sentences with "bellwethers", translation memory. ENGLISH DICTIONARY; SYNONYMS; TRANSLATE; GRAMMAR . GRAMMAR A-Z ; SPELLING ; PUNCTUATION ; WRITING TIPS ; USAGE ; EXPLORE . Usually, political bellwethers reference the voting behavior of a specific state or county that gives larger indicators to a national trend. There are a total of 3,141 counties or county equivalents in the United States. bellwethers Definitions. A bellwether is a leader or indicator of trends. bellwether meaning: 1. someone or something that shows how a situation will develop or change: 2. someone or something…. Vigo County, Ind., best fits the definition of a "barometric" bellwether. She said … For Connie Willis's book, see Bellwether (novel). That means every county has a 0.6 x 0.6 chance of predicting two consecutive elections, 0.6^3 chance of predicting three consecutive elections, and 0.6^9 of predicting nine consecutive elections. How do you use BELLWETHER in a sentence? bellwether data can inform advocates about specific gaps in bellwether knowledge about how their messages are playing with this audience. Learn how and when to remove this template message, "How many counties are in the United States? In 2018, Senator Sherrod Brown, a … A stock or bond that is widely believed to be an indicator of the overall market's condition. The top bellwether counties are, according to Wikipedia: Valencia County, New Mexico – perfect record with the electoral college winner since 1952 (longest current perfect streak) Vigo County, Indiana (county seat: Terre Haute) – has had 2 misses (1908, 1952) from 1888 on, and a perfect record since 1956. One who leads a group, especially a thoughtless group, in any cause. 2. Bellwether counties are bellwether counties because they predict winners, not the other way around. Perhaps Joe and I should be flattered -- after all, one definition of "bellwether" is "a person or thing that takes the lead" (that's from Random House). Barometric Bellwethers: these bellwethers are ones that best reflect the national vote percentage. [1] In the 2020 presidential election, almost all counties which had voted for the election winner between 1980 and 2016 did not continue their streaks as bellwethers, voting for Donald Trump as opposed to the winner of the election, Joe Biden; this was attributed to increasing political polarization brought about by an urban–rural divide in the U.S. (most bellwether counties having been rural).[2]. … Bellwether: An event or indicator that shows the possible presence of a trend. What is the meaning of BELLWETHER? Are we allowed to at least have a discussion about them??? Missouri typically gave its electoral votes to the party that would … But as pointed out by NPR in 2008, true bellwethers are becoming harder and harder to come by as demographics change on both local and state levels: “Every election season, reporters fan out to states and counties that claim to be political bellwethers. There are a total of 3,141 counties or county equivalents in the United States. A state is considered a “bellwether state” if it usually votes the same way as a majority of the country. America has change into so polarized that presidential bellwether counties—those who persistently again the nationwide winner, switching between events within the course of—are nearing extinction. This is more proof of massive election fraud. FPPS- Fórum dos Participantes dos Planos de Suplementação de Aposentadoria de Empresas de Energia Elétrica do Estado de São Paulo Perhaps Joe and I should be flattered -- after all, one definition of "bellwether" is "a person or thing that takes the lead" (that's from Random House). That makes it a somewhat reliable an anti-bellwether: if you picked the opposite of Webster's vote, you'd do better than siding with 75% of … Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in United States presidential elections, so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. As it applies to the US Presidential election, a "bellwether state" is a state that tends to give its electoral votes to the party that wins the election. Only misses were 1912 and 1988. Cortes added that while the bellwether data does not conclusively prove Trump won, when viewed in its totality alongside “the growing statistical evidence that points to the utter improbability of the Biden win, what emerges is really just two scenarios: either Biden had literally a perfect political storm on November 3 – highly unlikely – or there was massive and systemic cheating. The classic example of a bellwether state is Missouri, which has voted for the winner in every US presidential election since 1904 - except 1956. WORD ORIGINS ; LANGUAGE QUESTIONS ; WORD LISTS; SPANISH DICTIONARY; More. This article is about bellwethers in general. If you watched ABC news wednesday evening, they showed my county, Bucks County, which they characterized as a bellwether county. One famous example of a specific bellwether in politics is known as the “Missouri Bellwether,” in which the state of Missouri has voted for the presidential winner in every election from 1904 to 2016. The term derives from the Middle English bellewether and refers to the practice of placing a bell around the neck of a castrated ram (a wether) leading the flock of sheep. This animal was called the bellwether, a word formed by a combination of the Middle English words belle (meaning “bell”) and wether (a noun that refers to a male sheep that has been castrated). That was the first time a … What are synonyms for BELLWETHER? Sign Up. translation and definition "bellwethers", Dictionary English-English online. bellwether synonyms, bellwether pronunciation, bellwether translation, English dictionary definition of bellwether. Bellwether state is a state which, historically, tends to vote for the winning candidate, perhaps because it is demographically a microcosm of the country as a whole. Definition of: bellwether (bel′weth′ər) noun 1. OpEdNews - Diary: Bush and Joe, the turncoat, LIeberman. Example Sentences: (1) Click here to view the video In a way, Youssef's fate is a bellwether for the state of free speech in post-2011 Egypt. In the 2020 presidential election, almost all counties which had voted for the election winner between 1980 an… Two states and eight counties have voted for the winning candidate in every election from 1960 through 1996. This is more proof of massive election fraud. That was the first time a … https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/where-did-all-the-bellwether-counties-go Logged: The long-desired downfall of the Merkelized CDU Hades Concerned Citizen Posts: 5,168: Re: Bellwether counties under a Democratic winner « Reply #21 on: November 09, 2020, 05:01:08 AM » Can anybody tell me what went wrong in Essex, Vermont? Bellwether State Law and Legal Definition. Bellwether definition: If you describe something as a bellwether , you mean that it is an indication of the way... | Meaning, pronunciation, translations and examples bellwether - WordReference English dictionary, questions, discussion and forums. In total, Trump won 18 of the 19 former bellwether counties, winning the average such county by 13.7 points in 2020. voir la définition de Wikipedia. Wikipedia. TRENDING: Breaking: Georgia Judge Calls for Forensic Audit of Fulton County Ballots After Large Discrepancies Found in Ballot Batches. n. One that serves as a leader or as a leading indicator of future trends: "The degree to which the paper is censored is a political bellwether" . To make the concept of a bellwether more precise and accurate, political scientists have identified three types of bellwethers: A related term in politics is “battleground.”. The following county is the only county to have voted for the winner of the Electoral College in every election since 1980: The following counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in one election since 1980: The following counties have deviated from the winner of the Electoral College in two elections since 1980: Counties that usually vote for presidential election winners. Perhaps Joe and I should be flattered -- after all, one definition of "bellwether" is "a person or thing that takes the lead" (that's from Random House). A more flexible definition of bellwethers might simply compare a county’s vote to the national average, and see which ones consistently came closest regardless of who wound up winning. If you watched ABC news wednesday evening, they showed my county, Bucks County, which they characterized as a bellwether county. Solely considered one of them, Washington state’s Clallam County, backed … See more. And as was true in 2016, those counties voted substantially to … Are We Allowed to Talk About These Statistical Anomalies From 2020 Election? For example, a county might be said to be a “bellwether county” if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. Political scientists spend a great deal of time analyzing bellwethers to try to discern voting patterns and political affiliations. In politics, a “bellwether” refers to a geographic area whose political beliefs and voting preferences reflect that of a wider area. An example is the state of Ohio, which was also long considered a bellwether for national voting preferences, but started losing its status as a bellwether as the state started more conservative, as noted by the New York Times in 2016. For example, a county might be said to be a “bellwether county” if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. (n.) Hence: A leader. The only county that maintained its place as a bellwether is Clallam County, in Washington state. For the first definition there's also Blaine County, Montana. A state is considered a “bellwether state” if it usually votes the same way as a majority of the country. A Michigan State University academic paper points out that the concept of a bellwether itself is not held with as much regard as it used to be: Bellwethers aren’t traditionally embraced by political science. Again, like Vigo County, it flipped it almost exactly. Definition: (n.) A wether, or sheep, which leads the flock, with a bell on his neck. In politics, a “bellwether” refers to a geographic area whose political beliefs and voting preferences reflect that of a wider area. FPPS- Fórum dos Participantes dos Planos de Suplementação de Aposentadoria de Empresas de Energia Elétrica do Estado de São Paulo What are synonyms for BELLWETHER? Wood County is a decent bellwether of the state: Mr. Trump carried it by eight points in 2016, matching his statewide margin. By Matt Margolis Nov 13, 2020 11:57 AM ... Vigo County in Indiana has picked the … Erie County, Pennsylvania This union-friendly county in the northwest corner of the state twice voted for Barack Obama and then flipped to Trump. What is a "bellwether state"? Bellwether constituencies are those areas of population that vote in alignment with the winner of an election, usually for long periods of time. How do you use BELLWETHER in a sentence? Définitions de missouri bellwether, synonymes, antonymes, dérivés de missouri bellwether, dictionnaire analogique de missouri bellwether (anglais) Publicité anglais rechercher: traductions wikipedia anagrammes mots-croisés Ebay . This phenomenon is explained in a 2016 article from The American Conservative. Movie clips. ", "Bellwether Counties Nearly Wiped Out by 2020 Election", "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections", "The White House: Obama's Path to Victory", "The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble", "A county in Washington claims the title for the longest streak of picking presidential winners", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=List_of_election_bellwether_counties_in_the_United_States&oldid=1024628025, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles that may contain original research from November 2020, All articles that may contain original research, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 23 May 2021, at 08:08. She is a 'bellwether' of fashion. After all, if the voters in these places have been right in the past, maybe they’ll be right again. * And Dems are on defense in bellwether state of Ohio: GOP candidates are aggressively challenging at least … Is Vigo County just one more reliably red square in … Learn more. In Westmoreland County, Virginia - a small, rural community south of Washington DC that's failed to be a bellwether only twice since 1928, and is home … GRAMMAR A-Z ; SPELLING ; PUNCTUATION ; WRITING TIPS ; USAGE ; EXPLORE . All-or-Nothing Bellwethers: these bellwethers are states or counties that have chosen the national presidential winners with a great deal of accuracy, such as Missouri, Ohio and New Mexico. en.wiktionary.org. … Counties are termed bellwethers based on a history of coincidence wherein a county has picked the winner of the state or country for the last X elections and what defines a successful county pick is a very arbitrary 50% cutoff. This method is repeatable over time if the advocacy strategy takes place over multiple years. Even if a county misses the winner, there is no shame in giving 49.9% of the vote to a candidate who wins nationwide with 50.1%. In this bellwether county, Clinton and Trump fail to rally their bases Alexandra Glorioso and Amy Bennett Williams Naples (Fla.) Daily News and The (Fort Myers, Fla.) News-Press The Bellwether College Consortium is comprised of award-winning colleges charged with addressing critical issues facing community colleges through applicable research and the promotion and replication of best practices addressing workforce development, instructional programs and services, and planning governance and finance. Even if a county misses the winner, there is no shame in giving 49.9% of the vote to a candidate who wins nationwide with 50.1%. Comments & Questions. Erie County, Pennsylvania This union-friendly county in the northwest corner of the state twice voted for Barack Obama and then flipped to Trump. For instance, Washington County, Maine — the median bellwether county in terms of its share that’s non-Hispanic white — is 89 percent non-Hispanic white, which is much higher than the overall U.S. population that identifies as such (60 percent). What is the definition of BELLWETHER? Valencia County, New Mexico, has held a perfect track record in presidential elections since 1952. What made you want to look up bellwether? Bellwether definition is - one that takes the lead or initiative : leader; also : an indicator of trends. The Following County voted for the winner of Popular vote in every election since 1980, since 1888 had deviated from the winner of Popular vote only in 1968 and 1976. How to use bellwether in a sentence. From 1980 via 2016, 19 of the nation’s greater than 3,000 counties voted for the eventual president in each election. Press alt + / to open this menu. Sections of this page. In 2020, Donald trump won it by 10 percent.” What does bellwether mean? High-tech 'bellwethers' led the decline in the stock market. a county that is a 'bellwether' in national elections. A shepherd could then note the movements of the flock by hearing the bell, even when the flock was not in sight. For the record, that is 0.0100777, or slightly more than 1%. ENGLISH DICTIONARY; SYNONYMS; TRANSLATE; GRAMMAR . San Benito is often considered a bellwether county for California, ... With Reverso you can find the English translation, definition or synonym for bellwether and thousands of other words. Definition of bellwether noun in Oxford Advanced Learner's Dictionary. Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughter’s house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. What is the definition of BELLWETHER? Bellwether Counties Had a Clear Favorite for the 2020 Election. They are pretty incredible. Accessibility Help. Spoiler alert: Although Juneau is one of those, it’s Juneau County, Wisconsin, not the City and Borough of Juneau, Alaska. In this bellwether county, Clinton and Trump fail to rally their bases Alexandra Glorioso and Amy Bennett Williams Naples (Fla.) Daily News and The (Fort Myers, Fla.) News-Press Definition of bellwether in the Definitions.net dictionary. “In 2008, Obama won it by 8 percent. ted2019. If you watched ABC news wednesday evening, they showed my county, Bucks County, which they characterized as a bellwether county. What is the meaning of BELLWETHER? TRENDING: Breaking: Georgia Judge Calls for Forensic Audit of Fulton County Ballots After Large Discrepancies Found in Ballot Batches. In a paper published in 1975, Edward Tufte, a prominent … Missouri bellwether. voir la définition de Wikipedia. a county that is a bellwether in national elections [+] more examples [-] hide examples [+] Example sentences [-] Hide examples. Learn more. Prior to the 2008 US Presidential election, Missouri was a prime example of a "bellwether state". Comments & Questions. High-tech bellwethers led the decline in the stock market. Bellwether. Learner's definition of BELLWETHER ... She is a bellwether of fashion. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all, or almost all, elections. Did You Know? Jump to. A more flexible definition of … These are clear statistical "anomalies" by definition. About Bellwether. Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in United States presidential elections, so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. Posted on Last updated: May 5, 2020 By: Author taegan. The performance of certain companies/stocks and bonds are considered by … Define bellwether. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! As a mission-driven nonprofit, Bellwether Education Partners combines its strategy and policy expertise to partner with public agencies at the state, county, and local level to improve both access to and quality of education programs for all young people who have experienced significant disruptions to their education pathways. Meaning of bellwether. From 1980 via 2016, 19 of the nation’s greater than 3,000 counties voted for the eventual president in each election. définition - missouri bellwether. They are a list of counties in the United States that have accurately predicted the winner of the Presidential Election for decades! Bellwether States and Counties - 1960 through 1996 . America has change into so polarized that presidential bellwether counties—those who persistently again the nationwide winner, switching between events within the course of—are nearing extinction. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. Definition: (n.) A wether, or sheep, which leads the flock, with a bell on his neck. In other words, it is not the case that someone wins because they win a bellwether county… It depends how far you want to go back, but there … bellwether translation in English - French Reverso dictionary, see also 'belligerent',bell',bell pepper',bellow', examples, definition, conjugation This county voted with the popular vote each time. Information and translations of bellwether in the most comprehensive dictionary definitions resource on the web. Perhaps the most famous is Vigo County, Indiana. But that is because the concept is traditionally measured in very poor way. Example Sentences: (1) Click here to view the video In a way, Youssef's fate is a bellwether for the state of free speech in post-2011 Egypt. All Free. But if a bellwether county is one that has voted for the winner in at least ten presidential elections in a row, there were 19 bellwether counties as of Halloween of this year. “It’s a majority Hispanic county, working-class place,” Cortes said. Definition of bellwether written for English Language Learners from the Merriam-Webster Learner's Dictionary with audio pronunciations, usage examples, and count/noncount noun labels. WORD ORIGINS ; LANGUAGE QUESTIONS ; WORD LISTS ; SPANISH DICTIONARY; More. That chance of any one counting becoming a "bellwether" county is about 1% in nine consecutive elections. According to Merriam-Webster, the term is derived from the Middle Ages: Long ago, it was common practice for shepherds to hang a bell around the neck of one sheep in their flock, thereby designating it the lead sheep. (n.) Hence: A leader. définition - bellwether state. Since its founding in 1853 it has only got 13 out of the 37 extant elections right. Bellwether definition, a wether or other male sheep that leads the flock, usually bearing a bell. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all, or almost all, elections. Have you heard about “Bellwether Counties”? Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! Swingometric Bellwethers: these bellwethers are counties or states that directly reflect the swing in voting on a national level, and tend to vote differently depending on the specific candidate or issue.
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