Nineteen of these counties continued their streak in 2016 by voting for Trump, but the remaining 16 counties ended their bellwether streak by voting for Hillary Clinton. Northampton County, a longtime bellwether district that voted for Barack Obama in 2012 before swinging to Donald Trump in 2016, has been hit hard … Nineteen of these counties continued their streak in 2016 by voting for Trump, but the remaining 16 counties ended their bellwether streak by voting for Hillary Clinton. https://www.wsj.com/graphics/elections/2016/bellwether-counties But in 2016 Most of those that flipped were by narrow margins. The most impressive of those was Valencia County, New Mexico, which voted for the victor in every presidential election from 1952 to 2016.. In other words, only 54 percent of bellwether counties from 1980 to 2012 kept their status in 2016. From 1980 to 2016, 19 counties voted for the winner of the presidential election every single time. In fact, according to David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report, just 303 counties were decided by single-digit margins in 2016, compared to 1,096 counties that fit that description in 1992. A total of 35 counties voted for the winner of each presidential election from 1980 through 2012. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. Of the 19 counties that had a perfect record between 1980 and 2016, all but one voted to reelect President Donald Trump, who lost to Joe Biden in … Ottawa County is considered a bellwether county, having picked the winner of the past 14 presidential elections. Previously, the electoral division of Eden-Monaro elected its Member of Parliament from the party which won government at every federal election from 1972 until 2016, when the record was broken after Labor won the seat, while the Coalition won government. This is probably the first and shows the level of polarisation in the US that even bellwether counties got divided in Trump and Biden camps, almost equally - Trump won 16, Biden won 23. Cultural Husbandry posted this amazing graphic on Wednesday. Duncan Slade in NPR West Virginia Theorizes Gay Youth Might Move Away Due to State Laws, Can’t Find Any, Publishes Story Anyway, WashPost uses ‘Guilt by Geography’ to Falsely Link Texas with Alleged Capitol Violence, Chicago Police Union Issues Vote of No Confidence in Anti-White Racist Mayor Lori Lightfoot (VIDEO). In 2016, it held elections for President and U.S. Senate, and the state voted Republican for both offices. US election results: Why the most accurate bellwether counties were wrong. Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in Media Award in 2013 and is the proud recipient of the Breitbart Award for Excellence in Online Journalism from the Americans for Prosperity Foundation in May 2016. Seven counties, including Vigo, have got it right in the past dozen elections. News Analysis Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. let as1 = document.createElement( "script" ); But in 2020, 18 of these 19 “bellwether counties” voted for former President Donald Trump. 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In Australian federal elections, the Division of Robertson in New South Wales became the nation's new longest-running bellwether seat, continuously won by the party that also won government since the 1983 federal election. Source: Jim Hoft Cultural Husbandry posted this amazing graphic on Wednesday. 1996 Clinton. Feehery: 6 positive things about the Trump years and 6 bad things, Mellman: Biden’s approval & polling’s problems, Webb: Don’t blame me — I didn’t vote for the left, Juan Williams: The GOP is now the party of grifters and kooks, Pavlich: The Democrats next ‘public health’ power grab is coming. This is more proof of massive election fraud. This year, the bellwether counties voted heavily for Donald Trump, and for many of them, it appears they have broken their near-perfect records of predicting the winner, if the current trends hold and Biden is elected president. Cultural Husbandry posted this amazing graphic on Wednesday. Advertisement – story continues below. The Division of Of course, bellwethers are bellwethers until they aren’t. This is more proof of From 1980 to 2012, for instance, these bellwether counties consistently voted within a few points of the national popular vote. There Are No Bellwether Counties. History suggests not: just two-thirds of historic bellwether counties picked the winning presidential candidate a 13th time. Arguably, it was 2016 — and not 2020 — when bellwether counties first showed signs of falling by the wayside, given their dramatic swing to the right in that election. From his tweet: From 1984 through 2016, spanning presidential elections, seventeen US counties in several states ad voted for the winning presidential candidate in an astounding 148 of 153 times including 100% five times for five different presidents: 1984 Reagan From his tweet: From 1984 through 2016, spanning presidential elections, seventeen US counties in several states ad voted for the winning presidential candidate in an astounding 148 of … In the 2020 presidential election, almost all counties which had voted for the election winner between 1980 an… In other words, only 54 percent of bellwether counties from 1980 to 2012 kept their status in 2016. Democrats won the contests for the Senate, Secretary of State, and Superintendent of P… For instance, Washington County, Maine — the median bellwether county in terms of its share that’s non-Hispanic white — is 89 percent non-Hispanic white, which is much higher than the overall U.S. population that identifies as such (60 percent). The entire list is found at Wikipedia. Spoiler alert: Although Juneau is one of those, it’s Juneau County, Wisconsin, … [How Much Did COVID-19 Affect The 2020 Election?]. By Stephen Starr Port Clinton, Ohio. But in 2020, 18 of these 19 “bellwether counties” voted for former President Donald Trump. }, 72-Year-Old Good Samaritan Nearly Beaten to Death After Stopping to Help Black Teen with Flat Tire, Breaking: Maricopa County's Attorney Office Writes Senate Leader Karen Fann - Requests ALL DOCUMENTS Regarding Deleted Election Database Directory, Obama-Appointed Judge Sides with Biden, Rules Private Christian College Must Allow Biological Men to Shower with Women.
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